足不出户 走遍全世界
一 | 记者从自然资源部国家海洋环境预报中心获悉，今年赤道中东太平洋厄尔尼诺事件或将冲击历史观测纪录。受此气候背景影响，我国沿海正持续面临台风、巨浪、风暴潮交织的复合型海洋灾害考验。
今年5月，赤道中东太平洋进入厄尔尼诺状态，并且维持快速发展态势。 (ECNS) -- The 13th Wuzhen Theatre Festival will run from Oct. 15 to 25 in Jiaxing, Zhejiang Province, featuring 25 productions from 10 countries. This year’s festival will be held under the theme “Serene Transcendence,” a phrase drawn from The Book of Jin that evokes a sense of inner calm and lofty aspiration. Organizers said the theme reflects the festival’s commitment to staying true to the original spirit of theatrical creation. The featured productions will be presented across five sections, with 71 performances of 25 plays staged over 11 days. The lineup includes 11 overseas productions from countries including Germany, France, Italy, Greece, Belgium and Chile, along with two China-international co-productions and 12 domestic works. The festival will open with The Wild Duck, directed by German theatre director Thomas Ostermeier and performed by Schaubühne Berlin. The production premiered at the 2025 Avignon Festival and received widespread acclaim. The closing production, Cosmos, will be directed by French director Maëlle Poésy and performed by Dijon-Burgundy Theatre. Based on the true story of NASA’s Mercury 13 program, the play explores the experiences of women who sought to become astronauts during the early years of the U.S. space program. The festival has also continued to provide a platform for young theatre creators. Over the past 12 years, its youth competition has attracted more than 10,000 applicants, selected over 800 young theatre artists and brought 197 productions to the stage, according to Wuzhen’s official website. For the first time, this year’s youth competition will open to applicants worldwide, inviting Chinese-language theatre creators from around the globe to submit works inspired by the themes of “gliding, fox and radio.” Huang Lei, co-founder and chief producer of the festival, said the competition welcomes both original works and adaptations of classics or literary works, with the aim of creating more opportunities for young artists and supporting the development of Chinese theatre. (By Helen Mo, intern Liu Shuangjing) 
。截至目前，本次事件同期增暖程度，已经超过1982—1983、1997—1998和2015—2016年几次历史超强厄尔尼诺事件。模型预测结果持续上调，预计本次厄尔尼诺事件将在今年秋季末期至冬季达到峰值，或将成为有历史观测记录以来最强的一次厄尔尼诺事件。
国家海洋环境预报中心高级工程师 谭晶：一般影响我们国家的是在西北太平洋和南海生成的台风，今年受厄尔尼诺的影响，西北太平洋台风的生成源地要偏东一些，强台风生成的概率会增大，生成位置偏东就意味着台风在海上的时间更长，有更多的时间和空间来吸收热量和水汽，然后蓄积能量，这样就造成它最终登陆的时候可能强度更强，对我国近海造成的危害也更大。
强台风登陆，往往伴随大风、狂涛巨浪以及风暴潮，大幅增加沿海防御压力。海洋预报部门监测显示，今年海浪灾害预警呈现出明显的异常特征。
国家海洋环境预报中心海浪预报室副主任 高志一：今年我们的海浪警报有三个特点，第一，受台风过程的生命史变长的影响，警报周期也变长了。第二，红色警报的台风预警次数，较常年平均值多1~2次。第三，在近岸最大有效波高，较历史极值有略微的增长。
极端海况频发，对沿海海洋牧场、港口码头、滨海堤防、海上作业平台都带来考验。更长的警报周期、更强的近岸浪高意味着防灾窗口期拉长，海上养殖、航运生产需要更早避险、提前转移物资设施。（央视新闻客户端） 【编辑:李岩】。
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